A trading desk that publishes its own numbers — including the ones that say no.
An intraday SOLUSDT desk. Every setup is checked against the same gates, every refusal is counted, and every claim on this page carries its sample size. When the answer is no trade, that is the answer.
The measured record
Anticipatory limit
+0.545R
Cancel on a close through the level
n=399 · t=+7.29
1H delivery (CISD)
+0.317R
Scale-in ladder, delivery confirmed
n=1,180 · t=+7.32
Scale-in ladder
+0.234R
25 / 35 / 40 fill convention
n=693 · t=+4.98
Three numbers, three sample sizes, and the window each was measured over. A statistic without an n is an opinion wearing a number.
How a trade is decided
01 · Structure
Liquidity first.
Where the stops are, which level was swept, and whether it closed back inside or genuinely broke.
02 · Location
The entry must sit on the right side of its level.
Selling below a level you have not seen rejected is anticipation, not a trade. That single rule cost $250 once and has not cost it again.
03 · Risk
The stop clears the level by one ATR; the fee floor is derived, never remembered.
Round-trip cost is 0.063% of price, so the minimum stop is 0.252% — below that, the fees eat the edge.
04 · Refusal
Every gate says no out loud, and every no is counted.
A daily memo shows what was refused and why, so the desk can tell a tight gate from a working one.
05 · Exit
The plan is written before the entry, and the stop is the guard rail.
Positions can be closed the moment the path breaks — not only when a stop is hit.
What this is not
Not a signal service
No calls to copy. The desk states what it is doing and what would prove it wrong.
Not a promise of return
Every figure above is a measured average with a sample size, not a forecast.